How gold reacted to US consumer confidence on Tuesday 27 October 2026
How confident US households feel about the economy. The latest figure came out at 14:00 UK time on Tuesday 27 October 2026: 91.7, against a forecast of 81.5. The previous reading was 81.9.
The highest reading since May 2026 (93.1).
Out at the same time: new home sales 0.676M (forecast 0.708M).
What gold did
In the first 15 minutes gold moved +60 pips, and over the first hour +225 pips. Four hours after the release it was +275 pips from where it started.
That was a bigger first hour than usual: since April 2021, gold's first hour after consumer confidence has typically moved about 44 pips one way or the other, across 66 releases. It was up after 36 of them and down after 30.
When US consumer confidence surprised before
This release came in clearly above forecast. The 19 earlier times that happened since April 2021, gold's first hour was up 9 times and down 10, with a middle move of -10 pips. No clear pattern either way.
Beats and misses have not sent gold one clear way on consumer confidence since April 2021: after a clear miss gold's first hour was up 14 of 26 times, after a clear beat 9 of 19.
The last releases
| Date | Result | Forecast | Gold, first hour |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 91.7 | 81.5 | +225 pips |
| 29 Sep 2026 | 81.9 | 89.4 | +130 pips |
| 25 Aug 2026 | 89.4 | 91.8 | +191 pips |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 90.8 | 89.5 | +24 pips |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 91.2 | 88.8 | +77 pips |
| 26 May 2026 | 93.1 | 99.7 | +10 pips |
| 28 Apr 2026 | 92.8 | 99 | -58 pips |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 91.8 | 98.2 | -75 pips |
| 24 Feb 2026 | 91.2 | 91.8 | +225 pips |
| 27 Jan 2026 | 84.5 | 86.8 | +387 pips |
| 23 Dec 2025 | 89.1 | 83.4 | +127 pips |
| 25 Nov 2025 | 88.7 | 88.1 | -20 pips |
The next consumer confidence release is due on Tuesday 24 November 2026 at 15:00 UK time.
Moves are in pips, where one pip on gold is $0.10, measured from the price at the minute of the release.
Get it live in the Newsroom
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