Gold & the News

How gold reacted to US PPI on Friday 13 November 2026

James Mitchell
By · Founder, Trade By Focus
Published · 2 min read

Prices businesses receive for their goods, over the month. The latest figure came out at 13:30 UK time on Friday 13 November 2026: 0.3%, against a forecast of 0.4%. The previous reading was 1.3%.

The lowest reading since August 2026 (0%).

What gold did

In the first 15 minutes gold moved +82 pips, and over the first hour +78 pips. Four hours after the release it was +16 pips from where it started, and a day later -26 pips.

That was a bigger first hour than usual: since April 2021, gold's first hour after PPI has typically moved about 43 pips one way or the other, across 64 releases. It was up after 38 of them and down after 26.

Gold after this release
After 15 minutes
+82 pips
After 1 hour
+78 pips
After 4 hours
+16 pips
Next day
-26 pips
Gold's first hour after the last 12 releases
SepJanJanFebMarAprMayJulAugSepOctNov
Pink is this release. Pips on gold, where one pip is $0.10. Past moves do not tell you what gold will do next.

When US PPI surprised before

This release came in about in line with the forecast.

Since April 2021, PPI came in clearly below forecast 21 times. Gold's first hour was up 16 of those 21 times, by a middle amount of +24 pips.

The last releases

DateResultForecastGold, first hour
13 Nov 20260.3%0.4%+78 pips
15 Oct 20261.3%0%+23 pips
10 Sep 20260.4%-0.3%-63 pips
13 Aug 20260%0.5%-59 pips
15 Jul 2026-0.3%1.6%+163 pips
13 May 20261.4%0.4%+50 pips
14 Apr 20260.5%0.9%+143 pips
18 Mar 20260.7%0.5%-401 pips
27 Feb 20260.5%0.5%-40 pips
30 Jan 20260.5%0.5%+487 pips
14 Jan 20260.2%0%+40 pips
10 Sep 2025-0.1%0.7%-7 pips

The next PPI release is due on Tuesday 15 December 2026 at 13:30 UK time.

Moves are in pips, where one pip on gold is $0.10, measured from the price at the minute of the release.

Get it live in the Newsroom

The Newsroom in the Trade By Focus app has this for every US release: the result against the forecast as it lands, gold's move after it, how it compares with every earlier release, and the next ones on the calendar, with the day's gold news read as it comes in. Open the Newsroom

Important

For analysis purposes only. This shows what happened after past releases and should not be taken as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Past moves do not tell you what gold will do next. Trading carries a high risk of losing money.

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